Race 4B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jennifer Killian 13.2% 15.0% 15.9% 17.5% 16.9% 14.0% 5.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 26.1% 24.3% 17.5% 15.2% 10.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 18.1% 17.8% 20.7% 15.8% 15.6% 9.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Honke 23.0% 21.3% 20.4% 17.3% 10.8% 5.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Allison DeLuca 7.5% 9.1% 8.7% 11.7% 17.1% 26.2% 13.7% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Matthew Galbraith 9.4% 9.5% 13.5% 15.4% 19.5% 19.5% 9.9% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Nicole Owens 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 2.9% 8.9% 16.4% 25.8% 43.4%
Kyle Boucher 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 3.1% 3.5% 6.8% 20.5% 27.5% 24.7% 11.3%
Shannon McKeown 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 2.4% 3.1% 6.7% 22.9% 25.9% 22.8% 12.8%
Nick Jaczko 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 4.1% 13.5% 20.4% 24.8% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.