Race 5B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jennifer Killian 13.5% 14.8% 15.4% 17.4% 17.4% 14.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Charles Honke 22.1% 24.0% 18.3% 15.3% 12.3% 5.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Caleb Niles 18.1% 17.8% 20.3% 16.4% 15.7% 8.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 26.2% 22.7% 21.0% 16.6% 8.0% 4.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Allison DeLuca 7.6% 8.6% 8.8% 12.1% 16.8% 26.5% 13.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Matthew Galbraith 9.6% 9.3% 13.2% 15.1% 20.0% 19.6% 9.9% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Nicole Owens 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 2.9% 9.1% 16.3% 25.8% 43.4%
Kyle Boucher 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 3.1% 3.6% 6.9% 20.3% 27.5% 24.7% 11.3%
Shannon McKeown 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 6.9% 22.8% 25.9% 22.8% 12.8%
Nick Jaczko 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 1.3% 2.1% 4.1% 13.5% 20.4% 24.8% 32.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.