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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.78+2.26vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.98+0.95vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+0.90vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-1.25vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.75-0.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.04-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16+0.79vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-0.22vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-2.05-0.21vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.75-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Northeastern University1.780.2%1st Place
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2.95Boston University1.980.2%1st Place
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3.9Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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2.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.3%1st Place
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4.88Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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4.44Tufts University1.040.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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8.79Bentley University-2.050.0%1st Place
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8.46Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Niles | 18.4% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Honke | 22.8% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 12.6% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 26.6% | 22.4% | 21.5% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 26.3% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Galbraith | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shannon McKeown | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 23.7% | 26.7% | 24.5% | 11.6% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 19.6% | 26.3% | 23.6% | 13.8% |
| Nicole Owens | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 25.1% | 42.7% |
| Nick Jaczko | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 13.6% | 20.7% | 25.4% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.