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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.96+4.20vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.35+10.22vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02-0.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+1.01vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.65+1.26vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.05vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.53+2.81vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.94+0.34vs Predicted
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9William and Mary1.06-1.05vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.55-0.19vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.57-4.52vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.51+0.70vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.58-3.38vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-1.37vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.35-2.78vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.26-8.50vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.90-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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12.22Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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2.87Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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5.01Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.26Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.95Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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9.81Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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7.95William and Mary1.060.0%1st Place
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9.81Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.48Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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12.7Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.62Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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12.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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12.22Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.5Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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13.66U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vir Menon | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 31.3% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 10.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.