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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.96+4.04vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.35+9.77vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.87+2.35vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+2.31vs Predicted
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5Hampton University3.02-2.22vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65+0.03vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.06+0.80vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-2.42vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.58+0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.94-1.83vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.35+0.77vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49+0.18vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University0.53-3.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-0.90-0.82vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.26-1.16vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.51-3.68vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.26-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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11.77Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.35Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.31Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.78Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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6.03Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.8William and Mary1.060.1%1st Place
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5.58Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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9.13Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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11.77Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.31Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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13.18U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.84Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.32Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.21Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vir Menon | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 32.6% | 21.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 21.0% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.