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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+1.62vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.06+5.51vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.96+1.95vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.65+1.94vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.57+1.06vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.40vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.58+2.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.94-0.15vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.87-3.77vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.35+1.81vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.51+1.04vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49+0.12vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.90+0.08vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.53-4.91vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.60-5.89vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.26-2.09vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.35-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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7.51William and Mary1.060.0%1st Place
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4.95Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.94Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.06Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.6Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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9.08Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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5.23Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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11.81Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.04Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.09Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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9.11Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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13.91Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.81Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 34.3% | 24.0% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 5.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.