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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.96+3.92vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+4.01vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.87+2.21vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-1.31vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.65+0.84vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.39vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.06+0.62vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.58+0.94vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.35+2.68vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University0.53-0.72vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.51+1.15vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.60-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.94-5.09vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.26-0.23vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-2.79vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.35-4.32vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.90-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.01Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.21Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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2.69Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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5.84Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.61Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.62William and Mary1.060.0%1st Place
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8.94Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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11.68Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.28Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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12.15Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.01Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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13.77Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.21Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.68Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.15U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vir Menon | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 34.3% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.