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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.87+4.13vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+3.96vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02-0.33vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.96+1.06vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.53vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.06+1.70vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.35+4.74vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.60+0.89vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.51+3.09vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-4.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.94-3.08vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.53-2.84vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.35-1.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-0.90-0.89vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.26-1.16vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.58-6.87vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.49-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.96Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.67Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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5.06Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.53Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.7William and Mary1.060.0%1st Place
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11.74Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.89Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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12.09Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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5.86Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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9.16Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.74Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.11U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.84Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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9.13Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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12.2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Andersen | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 32.6% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kaylie Byrnes | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.