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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+5.03vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+7.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.85+2.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.89+0.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+6.95vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.62vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09+0.70vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+1.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.57-2.66vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-1.31vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.84-2.87vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.64-2.76vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.27+2.32vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.61-1.05vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07-3.92vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.69-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-2.05vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.44-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Harvard University2.459.4%1st Place
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9.14Old Dominion University1.594.3%1st Place
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5.26Yale University2.8513.0%1st Place
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4.43Stanford University2.8918.3%1st Place
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11.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.992.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Pennsylvania2.167.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University2.095.9%1st Place
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9.28St. Mary's College of Maryland1.683.9%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Naval Academy2.579.7%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.9%1st Place
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8.13Tulane University1.846.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Michigan1.644.2%1st Place
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15.32SUNY Maritime College-0.271.1%1st Place
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12.95Cornell University0.612.0%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.072.9%1st Place
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12.52Fordham University0.691.6%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Los Angeles-0.030.6%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University1.443.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 18.3% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Henry Allgeier | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Isabelle Gautier | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 19.2% | 38.6% |
| Maya Conway | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| James Owen | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 7.6% |
| David Spector | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 22.3% | 30.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.