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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+3.09vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+0.77vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.35+8.71vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.68vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.87+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.94+2.07vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.57-0.79vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.65-2.26vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.51+3.13vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.58-0.87vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.06-3.36vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.26+1.82vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University0.53-3.83vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.60-5.09vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-2.55vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-0.35-4.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-0.90-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Christopher Newport University2.310.2%1st Place
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2.77Hampton University3.020.3%1st Place
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11.71Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.68Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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5.36Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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6.21Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.74Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.13Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.13Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.64William and Mary1.060.1%1st Place
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13.82Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
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9.17Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.91Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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12.45Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.71Virginia Tech-0.350.0%1st Place
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13.14U. S. Military Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 16.0% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 32.5% | 22.6% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 9.4% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Cochran | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Schalles | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hare | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 22.1% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.