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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.21vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.89+2.03vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+4.29vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52+1.02vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.05+4.37vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06+3.78vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.26+1.81vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.12vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-2.01vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.02-0.45vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.53-6.05vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.81-0.15vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-1.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.54-0.40vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.45-1.44vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.46-5.02vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-0.06-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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4.03Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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7.29Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.02Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.37Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.78Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.81Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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5.88Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.99Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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9.55Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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4.95Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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11.85William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.6U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.98Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.78Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 24.5% | 22.3% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 18.3% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 13.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 21.9% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.