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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.52+3.91vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.06+7.64vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.02+6.44vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.89+0.11vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26-1.69vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72+1.38vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.53-1.92vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.09vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.26-0.33vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.46+1.02vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.05-1.67vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.06-2.36vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.81-1.12vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.80-7.02vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.45-1.57vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.54-2.27vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.64Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.44Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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4.11Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.31Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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7.38Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.08Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.91Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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8.67Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.02Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.33Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.64Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.88William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.98Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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13.73U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liliana Loosbrock | 10.5% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 24.9% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 13.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 32.1% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 12.7% | 21.6% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.