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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.37+1.30vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89+1.28vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52+1.23vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06+4.83vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.26+2.90vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.02+2.61vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80-0.95vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.83vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.46+1.02vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.72-3.61vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.06-2.17vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.05-3.53vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-2.81vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-3.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.54-2.25vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-1.45-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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3.3Cornell University2.370.2%1st Place
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4.28Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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5.23Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.83Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.9Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.61Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.05Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.17Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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11.02Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.39Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.83Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.47Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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11.19Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.86William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.75U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 23.5% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 24.1% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 21.1% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.