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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.40vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.89+2.26vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.37+0.27vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52+1.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.54+8.72vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.80+1.24vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.26+1.87vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+3.05vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.87vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.05-0.52vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.02-1.44vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.72-4.61vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.06-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-1.45-0.53vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech-0.06-5.25vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.46-4.92vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-0.81-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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4.26Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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3.27Cornell University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.31Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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13.72U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.24Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.87Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.05Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.13Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.48Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.56Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.39Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.75Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.75Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.08Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.01William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 22.8% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 15.4% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 23.6% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.