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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.44vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.37+1.33vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89+1.33vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.42vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.06+4.98vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.26+3.08vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.52-1.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-1.54+5.73vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.72-1.42vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.02-0.18vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.06-1.02vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.36-3.30vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-1.61vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.05-4.36vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-2.97vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.45-2.29vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.80-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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3.33Cornell University2.370.2%1st Place
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4.33Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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6.42Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.98Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.08Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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5.4Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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13.73U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.58Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.82Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.98Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.7Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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11.39Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.64Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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12.03William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.42Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 22.9% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 24.0% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 14.5% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 37.8% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 22.6% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.