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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.53+4.01vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+4.11vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+0.31vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+6.04vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52+0.13vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.36+2.67vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.05+2.65vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.72-0.63vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-1.91vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.26-1.02vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.89-6.81vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.06-1.96vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.02-3.32vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.81-1.99vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-3.76vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.45-2.36vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.54-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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6.11Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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3.31Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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10.04Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.13Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.67Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.65Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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7.37Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.09Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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8.98Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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4.19Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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10.04Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.68Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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12.01William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.24Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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13.88U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajan Alagiri | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 24.5% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 11.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 22.8% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.