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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.33+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.43-0.13vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.15+0.72vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.48+0.18vs Predicted
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5American University-1.93-0.21vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.17-2.24vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.48-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Maryland-0.330.2%1st Place
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1.87University of Pittsburgh0.430.5%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University-1.150.1%1st Place
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4.18Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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4.79American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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3.76North Carolina State University-1.170.1%1st Place
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4.18Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Stoner | 21.7% | 28.2% | 24.0% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 49.5% | 25.7% | 16.1% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 10.3% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 23.7% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 25.3% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 3.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 45.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 8.9% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 22.4% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 25.3% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.