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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.48+3.21vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-1.15+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.43-1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.33-1.34vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.17-1.13vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.48-1.79vs Predicted
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7American University-1.93-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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3.7North Carolina State University-1.150.1%1st Place
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1.81University of Pittsburgh0.430.5%1st Place
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2.66University of Maryland-0.330.2%1st Place
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3.87North Carolina State University-1.170.1%1st Place
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4.21Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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4.75American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Sayles | 6.4% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 9.4% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 22.1% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 50.6% | 27.4% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 21.9% | 26.8% | 25.1% | 17.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 8.4% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 6.4% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 3.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 24.1% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.