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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-0.85+2.02vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.48+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-0.62-0.37vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.48-0.16vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.15-1.60vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.17-2.44vs Predicted
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7American University-1.93-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Maryland-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.84Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Pittsburgh-0.620.3%1st Place
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3.84Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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3.4North Carolina State University-1.150.2%1st Place
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3.56North Carolina State University-1.170.1%1st Place
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4.54American University-1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Howard | 21.2% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 22.5% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 28.9% | 23.0% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 22.5% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 16.7% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 14.6% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 39.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.