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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.62+1.71vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-1.15+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.85-0.04vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.17-0.57vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.48-1.01vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.48-2.01vs Predicted
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7American University-1.93-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Pittsburgh-0.620.3%1st Place
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3.38North Carolina State University-1.150.2%1st Place
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2.96University of Maryland-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.43North Carolina State University-1.170.2%1st Place
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3.99Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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3.99Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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4.53American University-1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Merrill | 26.9% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 17.3% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Howard | 22.4% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 16.5% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 40.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.