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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.43+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.33+0.66vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.17+0.75vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.48+0.20vs Predicted
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5American University-1.93-0.21vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.15-2.28vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.48-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Pittsburgh0.430.5%1st Place
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2.66University of Maryland-0.330.2%1st Place
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3.75North Carolina State University-1.170.1%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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4.79American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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3.72North Carolina State University-1.150.1%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Fairchild | 46.7% | 29.9% | 15.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 23.7% | 27.3% | 22.0% | 16.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 10.0% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 23.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 24.3% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 3.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 46.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 10.1% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 22.2% | 24.3% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.