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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.48+3.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-1.17+1.74vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.15+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.33-1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.43-3.06vs Predicted
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6American University-1.93-1.25vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.48-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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3.74North Carolina State University-1.170.1%1st Place
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3.7North Carolina State University-1.150.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Maryland-0.330.2%1st Place
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1.94University of Pittsburgh0.430.5%1st Place
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4.75American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.23Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Sayles | 5.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 26.2% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 10.4% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 21.9% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 10.0% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 23.6% | 24.6% | 27.2% | 15.6% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 46.1% | 28.8% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 43.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 5.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 26.2% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.