← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-1.48+2.93vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-1.17+1.39vs Predicted
-
3University of Pittsburgh-0.62-0.38vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-1.15-0.59vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland-0.85-1.88vs Predicted
-
6American University-1.93-1.46vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech-1.48-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
-
3.39North Carolina State University-1.170.2%1st Place
-
2.62University of Pittsburgh-0.620.3%1st Place
-
3.41North Carolina State University-1.150.2%1st Place
-
3.12University of Maryland-0.850.2%1st Place
-
4.54American University-1.930.1%1st Place
-
3.93Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Sayles | 9.9% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Brooks | 16.7% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 30.0% | 21.4% | 21.7% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 16.6% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Howard | 20.3% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 22.0% | 38.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 9.9% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.