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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-1.17+2.49vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-1.15+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.85-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.62-1.35vs Predicted
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5American University-1.93-0.40vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.48-2.07vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.48-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49North Carolina State University-1.170.1%1st Place
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3.38North Carolina State University-1.150.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Maryland-0.850.2%1st Place
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2.65University of Pittsburgh-0.620.3%1st Place
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4.6American University-1.930.1%1st Place
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3.93Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
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3.93Virginia Tech-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brooks | 14.6% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 17.4% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Howard | 22.8% | 19.9% | 21.9% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 27.5% | 23.3% | 21.8% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 42.6% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 23.1% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 23.1% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.