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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.45+1.27vs Predicted
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2American University1.50-0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-1.40+1.25vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.08-0.09vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.48-0.54vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.48-1.54vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.69-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Maryland0.450.2%1st Place
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1.46American University1.500.7%1st Place
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4.25University of Pittsburgh-1.400.0%1st Place
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3.91North Carolina State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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4.46Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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4.46Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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4.65North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Safieh | 22.3% | 44.7% | 20.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lois Rogel Vence | 65.1% | 25.5% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gaston Chive | 3.6% | 7.6% | 18.4% | 22.5% | 26.0% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holde | 4.7% | 10.3% | 23.3% | 25.3% | 24.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 2.0% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 22.2% | 25.1% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 2.0% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 22.2% | 25.1% | 28.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 2.3% | 4.0% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.