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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.48+3.02vs Predicted
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2American University1.50-0.69vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.08+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.37-1.28vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.69-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.46-0.88vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.48-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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1.31American University1.500.8%1st Place
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3.49North Carolina State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.34North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Pittsburgh-2.460.0%1st Place
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4.02Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Sayles | 3.9% | 11.0% | 20.5% | 23.5% | 26.2% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Lois Rogel Vence | 75.4% | 19.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holde | 6.2% | 18.0% | 27.3% | 24.2% | 17.8% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 11.0% | 38.9% | 25.5% | 17.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 2.3% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 23.4% | 26.0% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| erik roseberry | 1.2% | 3.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 24.6% | 52.8% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 3.9% | 11.0% | 20.5% | 23.5% | 26.2% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.