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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University1.50+0.44vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.48+2.35vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.48+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.45-1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-1.40-0.73vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.08-1.98vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.69-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44American University1.500.7%1st Place
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4.35Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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4.35Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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2.26University of Maryland0.450.2%1st Place
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4.27University of Pittsburgh-1.400.0%1st Place
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4.02North Carolina State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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4.66North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lois Rogel Vence | 65.9% | 26.1% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 2.4% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 23.5% | 25.3% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 2.4% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 23.5% | 25.3% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 22.7% | 42.4% | 24.2% | 8.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gaston Chive | 3.6% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 24.0% | 25.2% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holde | 3.0% | 11.5% | 22.1% | 23.7% | 23.1% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 2.4% | 4.6% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 24.5% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.