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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University1.50+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.45+0.25vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.48+1.35vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.48+0.35vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.69-0.37vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.08-2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-1.40-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47American University1.500.6%1st Place
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2.25University of Maryland0.450.2%1st Place
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4.35Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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4.35Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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4.63North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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3.99North Carolina State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Pittsburgh-1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lois Rogel Vence | 64.6% | 26.1% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 22.8% | 43.6% | 22.3% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 3.6% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 22.5% | 26.0% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 3.6% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 22.5% | 26.0% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 1.6% | 6.5% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 25.3% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holde | 3.9% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 25.4% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Gaston Chive | 3.5% | 5.9% | 20.0% | 22.2% | 24.0% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.