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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University1.50+0.30vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.48+2.01vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.69+1.23vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.48+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.37-2.29vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.08-2.38vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.46-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3American University1.500.8%1st Place
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4.01Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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4.23North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.01Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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2.71University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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3.62North Carolina State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Pittsburgh-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lois Rogel Vence | 75.5% | 19.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 2.8% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 23.8% | 24.4% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 4.4% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 30.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 2.8% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 23.8% | 24.4% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 11.5% | 36.0% | 30.6% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holde | 4.7% | 19.0% | 22.3% | 26.5% | 18.9% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| erik roseberry | 1.1% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 55.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.