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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University1.50+0.30vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.48+2.01vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-1.69+1.23vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.08-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.37-2.18vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.48-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.46-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3American University1.500.8%1st Place
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4.01Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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4.23North Carolina State University-1.690.0%1st Place
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3.51North Carolina State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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2.82University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.01Virginia Tech-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Pittsburgh-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lois Rogel Vence | 75.6% | 19.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 2.6% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 24.3% | 23.5% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Hayes | 4.2% | 8.5% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 29.2% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holde | 5.3% | 19.3% | 24.0% | 26.8% | 19.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 11.0% | 35.8% | 26.6% | 15.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sayles | 2.6% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 24.3% | 23.5% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| erik roseberry | 1.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 55.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.