← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Amherst College0.89+1.14vs Predicted
-
2McGill University0.52+0.45vs Predicted
-
3Brandeis University0.93-0.95vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-1.27+0.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14Amherst College0.890.3%1st Place
-
2.45McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
-
2.05Brandeis University0.930.4%1st Place
-
4.17Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
-
4.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 33.8% | 31.2% | 23.6% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 22.8% | 27.0% | 35.2% | 12.5% | 2.5% |
| SERRA PELIN | 37.2% | 30.6% | 23.0% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 37.3% | 45.5% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.1% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 32.6% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.