← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University0.52+1.48vs Predicted
-
2Brandeis University0.93+0.06vs Predicted
-
3Amherst College0.89-0.89vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30+0.19vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-1.27-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.48McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
-
2.06Brandeis University0.930.4%1st Place
-
2.11Amherst College0.890.3%1st Place
-
4.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
-
4.16Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adele DesBrisay | 23.9% | 26.3% | 31.1% | 14.8% | 3.9% |
| SERRA PELIN | 36.1% | 30.7% | 25.1% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 33.9% | 32.2% | 24.0% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 36.6% | 46.6% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 32.8% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.