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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.52+1.48vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University0.93+0.06vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.89-0.89vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.27+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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2.06Brandeis University0.930.4%1st Place
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2.11Amherst College0.890.3%1st Place
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4.16Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adele DesBrisay | 23.9% | 26.4% | 31.0% | 14.9% | 3.8% |
| SERRA PELIN | 36.0% | 30.8% | 25.1% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 33.9% | 32.3% | 23.7% | 8.7% | 1.4% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 3.4% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 37.2% | 45.2% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 2.8% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 32.1% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.