← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University0.52+1.46vs Predicted
-
2Amherst College0.89+0.10vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-1.27+0.13vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-0.79vs Predicted
-
6Brandeis University0.93-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.46McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
-
2.1Amherst College0.890.3%1st Place
-
4.13Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
-
4.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
-
2.09Brandeis University0.930.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adele DesBrisay | 24.2% | 26.0% | 32.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% |
| Noah Brayer | 34.9% | 30.4% | 25.3% | 8.2% | 1.2% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 2.9% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 36.1% | 44.2% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 32.6% | 50.0% |
| SERRA PELIN | 34.8% | 32.6% | 22.2% | 9.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.