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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.52+1.51vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.89+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30+1.17vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.93-1.94vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.27-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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2.12Amherst College0.890.3%1st Place
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4.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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2.06Brandeis University0.930.4%1st Place
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4.14Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adele DesBrisay | 22.8% | 27.7% | 29.5% | 15.7% | 4.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 34.0% | 30.8% | 25.8% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 34.9% | 47.0% |
| SERRA PELIN | 36.5% | 30.4% | 25.0% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 3.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 34.5% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.