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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.89+1.14vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.52+0.45vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University0.93-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-0.81vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.27-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Amherst College0.890.3%1st Place
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2.45McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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2.05Brandeis University0.930.4%1st Place
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4.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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4.17Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 33.8% | 31.4% | 23.6% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 22.8% | 27.0% | 35.4% | 12.2% | 2.6% |
| SERRA PELIN | 37.2% | 30.8% | 22.6% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 36.6% | 46.9% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 3.1% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 33.5% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.