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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.52+1.49vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.89+0.10vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University0.93-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-0.81vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.27-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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2.1Amherst College0.890.3%1st Place
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2.08Brandeis University0.930.4%1st Place
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4.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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4.15Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adele DesBrisay | 24.0% | 26.1% | 31.1% | 14.9% | 3.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 34.5% | 30.9% | 25.9% | 7.6% | 1.1% |
| SERRA PELIN | 35.3% | 32.3% | 22.9% | 8.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 36.7% | 46.6% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 2.9% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 32.5% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.