Race 2A

dave-perry

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Hutchings 13.4% 14.3% 15.4% 14.7% 14.3% 13.7% 9.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 8.6% 11.0% 11.3% 12.1% 13.4% 13.0% 12.9% 11.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 12.0% 11.7% 14.4% 14.6% 12.1% 13.3% 12.0% 6.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 4.7% 6.5% 7.7% 13.9% 23.4% 22.0% 12.4% 0.0%
Max Rollins 7.0% 9.2% 10.1% 9.8% 12.5% 11.7% 14.4% 14.2% 7.8% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 8.7% 10.6% 12.2% 11.0% 12.6% 12.7% 14.6% 9.3% 5.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Mark Towill 33.3% 23.6% 13.1% 14.1% 7.6% 4.7% 1.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 11.5% 13.2% 13.7% 14.5% 13.3% 11.1% 10.6% 7.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
William Hutchings 13.4% 14.3% 15.4% 14.7% 14.3% 13.7% 9.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Stevens 2.8% 2.8% 4.5% 3.7% 4.9% 8.0% 9.3% 19.0% 23.9% 14.7% 6.4% 0.0%
Natalie Fohl 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.9% 2.6% 4.0% 8.0% 14.8% 27.5% 35.8% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 2.7% 3.3% 6.1% 11.3% 27.4% 44.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.