← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University0.73+0.47vs Predicted
-
2Brandeis University-0.91+0.74vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-0.70vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50+0.14vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-2.80-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.47McGill University0.730.6%1st Place
-
2.74Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
-
2.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
-
4.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
-
4.35Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Ferrarotto | 63.9% | 26.5% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 11.4% | 25.3% | 43.4% | 17.3% | 2.6% |
| Griffin Brayer | 21.1% | 39.4% | 29.3% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 2.1% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 42.4% | 40.2% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.5% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 30.1% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.