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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.73+0.47vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University-0.91+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-0.70vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-2.80+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47McGill University0.730.6%1st Place
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2.76Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
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4.34Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Ferrarotto | 64.1% | 26.2% | 8.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 11.2% | 25.3% | 43.2% | 17.1% | 3.2% |
| Griffin Brayer | 20.8% | 39.3% | 29.8% | 9.0% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.6% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 33.3% | 53.9% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 2.3% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 39.1% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.