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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+1.32vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.73-0.55vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-2.80+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50+0.12vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.91-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
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1.45McGill University0.730.6%1st Place
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4.33Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
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2.77Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Brayer | 20.7% | 39.0% | 29.7% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 63.9% | 27.8% | 7.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.3% | 3.4% | 9.6% | 32.3% | 53.4% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 2.5% | 4.2% | 12.2% | 40.6% | 40.5% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 11.6% | 25.6% | 40.8% | 17.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.