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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+0.31vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.91-0.24vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-2.80+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46McGill University0.730.6%1st Place
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2.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
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2.76Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.34Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Ferrarotto | 64.7% | 25.9% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Brayer | 19.7% | 39.9% | 30.6% | 9.1% | 0.7% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 12.2% | 24.4% | 42.3% | 17.7% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.4% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 32.7% | 54.0% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 2.0% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 39.4% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.