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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+0.31vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University-0.91-0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50+0.13vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-2.80-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46McGill University0.730.6%1st Place
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2.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
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2.77Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.34Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Ferrarotto | 64.7% | 25.8% | 8.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Brayer | 19.8% | 39.9% | 31.0% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 12.0% | 25.0% | 40.2% | 19.9% | 2.9% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 2.2% | 4.4% | 12.2% | 40.9% | 40.3% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 29.9% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.