Race 3A

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
William Hutchings 12.1% 16.9% 15.4% 13.1% 16.4% 10.6% 7.1% 6.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Towill 31.6% 22.4% 17.2% 12.4% 8.1% 5.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 10.1% 10.4% 13.2% 14.1% 11.3% 14.8% 12.5% 8.1% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Meleny 8.6% 8.8% 11.2% 11.2% 13.4% 13.4% 14.2% 10.6% 6.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 13.0% 14.8% 13.6% 13.5% 12.3% 11.4% 11.2% 5.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tripp Cashel 9.5% 10.3% 10.7% 13.1% 11.7% 12.8% 13.2% 10.6% 5.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
William Hutchings 12.1% 16.9% 15.4% 13.1% 16.4% 10.6% 7.1% 6.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Rollins 8.3% 9.4% 9.3% 11.0% 12.4% 12.4% 13.1% 13.0% 7.5% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Bryan Lilley 2.9% 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 7.0% 9.9% 14.7% 22.8% 19.9% 10.0% 0.0%
Natalie Fohl 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 1.8% 3.3% 2.8% 5.8% 14.9% 29.5% 36.9% 0.0%
Dylan Keegan 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 6.4% 10.8% 25.6% 46.3% 0.0%
Nathan Stevens 2.5% 3.2% 4.8% 4.2% 6.5% 7.0% 10.6% 17.5% 22.1% 16.2% 5.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.