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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.73+0.46vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University-0.91+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50+1.10vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-2.80-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46McGill University0.730.6%1st Place
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2.76Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.35Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
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2.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Ferrarotto | 64.9% | 25.1% | 8.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 10.8% | 26.4% | 41.8% | 17.5% | 3.5% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 41.1% | 39.6% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.6% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 30.7% | 55.6% |
| Griffin Brayer | 20.2% | 39.4% | 29.6% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.