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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.73+0.47vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University-0.91+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50-0.86vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-2.80-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47McGill University0.730.6%1st Place
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2.74Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.35Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Ferrarotto | 63.9% | 26.5% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 11.4% | 25.3% | 43.4% | 17.3% | 2.6% |
| Griffin Brayer | 21.1% | 39.4% | 29.3% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 2.1% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 42.4% | 40.2% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.5% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 30.1% | 55.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.