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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.73+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+0.33vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-2.80+0.33vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.91-2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47McGill University0.730.7%1st Place
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2.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
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4.33Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
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2.76Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Ferrarotto | 65.5% | 24.0% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Brayer | 20.2% | 38.1% | 31.7% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.6% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 30.4% | 54.8% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 10.7% | 28.0% | 38.8% | 19.4% | 3.1% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 2.0% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 40.3% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.