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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+1.34vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.73-0.53vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.91-1.26vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-2.80-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.2%1st Place
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1.47McGill University0.730.6%1st Place
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2.74Brandeis University-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.34Middlebury College-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Brayer | 21.2% | 37.5% | 29.2% | 10.7% | 1.4% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 63.3% | 27.6% | 8.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 12.4% | 24.5% | 43.2% | 16.5% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Yang | 1.2% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 32.7% | 53.9% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 1.9% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 39.0% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.