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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+0.34vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.36+1.18vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.67+0.99vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-0.32vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.93+1.39vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.71+0.15vs Predicted
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7Duke University-2.07+1.07vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-0.63-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.66-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34College of Charleston3.230.7%1st Place
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3.18University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
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3.99Clemson University0.670.1%1st Place
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3.68Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.1%1st Place
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6.39Georgia Institute of Technology-0.930.0%1st Place
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6.15North Carolina State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.07Duke University-2.070.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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6.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 74.4% | 18.9% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 7.9% | 30.3% | 26.6% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carrie Marshall | 5.2% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Ploch | 5.8% | 19.5% | 22.5% | 25.1% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dalton | 1.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 12.9% |
| Jason Perryman | 1.2% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 8.1% |
| Charles York | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 15.9% | 61.5% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 9.1% |
| Maria Teresa Felix | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.