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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.74+0.02vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.62-0.78vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73-1.94vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.48-0.37vs Predicted
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9Yale University-0.08-2.87vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.61-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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3.02University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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3.22Salve Regina University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.06Brown University1.730.2%1st Place
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4.1Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.13Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.87Bates College0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 8.3% |
| James Amaral | 23.3% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Lawless | 21.5% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Jordan | 23.8% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 11.0% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 46.8% |
| Patrick Buehler | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 25.4% | 30.5% |
| Peter Galloway | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.